Monday, October 7, 2019

Fwd: When Debris Overwhelms Space Exploitation



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Begin forwarded message:

From: "Info@Launchspace.com" <info@launchspace.com>
Date: October 7, 2019 at 8:07:38 AM CDT
To: Bobbygmartin1938@gmail.com
Subject: When Debris Overwhelms Space Exploitation
Reply-To: info@launchspace.com

When Debris Overwhelms Space Exploitation

 
(Launchspace Staff Writers)
 
Bethesda, MD - We see more and more reports of debris concern among satellite operators and space observers. Add to this the many recent announcements of multiple broadband satellite constellations that are being funded and developed for launch in the next few years. Just focusing on low Earth orbits (LEO), there are an estimated 15,000 satellites in the works. For example, Amazon is planning to launch 3,236 satellite and SpaceX is already building the first of 4,000 multi-hundred-kilogram spacecraft. Add all of the broadband satellites to the hundreds of planned CubeSats and we have a new satellite population that is at least an order of magnitude larger than what is now in LEO. This explosion in population will be accompanied by an explosion in debris. The safety and traffic implications are extremely negative.
 
Assuming no debris removal and control program is implemented, it is estimated that within the next decade the debris population will overwhelm LEO operations to the point that space access may be completely impossible. This cannot be allowed to happen because the world's economy will be set back for at least one or two generations. Since the military depends heavily on space, national defense capabilities will also be seriously diminished. Just imagine not having GPS, direct-to-home TV broadcasts, satellite weather, missile defense detection and many other services we now take for granted.
 
Once the debris takes over, there is no known way to then clean up space. It is fair to say that such a cleanup, if possible, could take decades or even centuries. Without space our technological future will be quite limited. Even our present way of life will disintegrate and revert backward by at least 20 years.
 
The bottom line is that this cannot be allowed to happen. Somebody has to pay to cleanup space, and that somebody is going to be everybody on the planet, one way or another. To paraphrase a popular muffler ad: "You can pay now, or you can pay later. However, the cost is going to be much, much higher if we wait."
_________________________________
 
Featured short course - available for customized presentation at your facility
Contact Launchspace for a quote: info@launchspace.com
 
Space Debris: Issues, Threats and the Equatorial Epiphany
 
DURATION: THREE DAYS
LOCATION: AT YOUR FACILITY
COURSE NO.: 1060
 
COURSE SUMMARY
Since 1957, artificial satellites and launch vehicles have created an ever growing number of orbiting debris objects, from a few microns to several meters in size. In recent years a number of international agreements have been made to limit the growth rate of debris. However, there is no serious program to reduce the amount of existing debris. Recent developments such as the proliferation of debris from the Chinese ASAT test of 2007 and the 2009 collision of an Iridium satellite with a Russian Cosmos have raised level of urgency to actively manage the debris situation. Mitigation approaches have been pursued and many reduction techniques have been suggested. Many new spacecraft are now able to maneuver out of the way at their end of life. But, little is being done to reduce existing debris. This special and timely course introduces the Equatorial Epiphany and attempts to explain the dangers and the options associated with the growing debris problem.
 
COURSE MATERIALS:
Each attendee receives a soft or hard copy of the presentation materials.
 
WHO SHOULD ATTEND:
  • Space industry executives, decision makers and analysts
  • Satellite operators and program managers
  • Space mission designers and operations managers
  • Launch vehicle and satellite insurance underwriters
  • Space policy writers and lawmakers
  • Anyone wishing to gain insight into the space debris issues
 
WHAT YOU WILL LEARN:
  • The nature and history of orbital debris and the space environment
  • Debris-generated hazards of space flight
  • Proliferation, propagation and collision events
  • Management and mitigation approaches
  • Methods of spacecraft protection
  • The Equatorial Epiphany - The ultimate ecosystem solution
  • Policy, legal and economic implications
 
COURSE OUTLINE:

1. The Nature of Space Flight and Debris Production

  • Dynamics of orbiting around the Earth
  • The sources of space debris and what happens to it
  • Description of the dangers to operating spacecraft
  • Basic definitions

2. Density and Distribution of Orbiting Debris

  • Description of debris sizes and numbers
  • Near-term and long-term implications
  • Buildup of collision events
  • The "do-nothing" scenario

3. The Debris Hunters

  • Tracking space debris
  • Space situational awareness
  • Shortcomings of today's technology
  • Needed new technologies to predict debris impacts

4. International Treaties and Agreements on Space Debris

  • The main debris study sources
  • International committees and working groups
  • Most recent findings related to debris mitigation and management
  • New treaties needed to facilitate debris reduction

5. The Equatorial Epiphany - New Debris Reduction Ecosystem

  • Technologies and Methods of debris reduction
  • Early experiments to test possible solutions
  • Debris reduction architectures
  • Space control
  • Cost estimates

6. Impact of Debris Reduction on the Overall Space Program and Industry

  • New launch systems and spaceports for debris clean up
  • Special spacecraft for debris collection and monitoring
  • Maintaining normal satellite operations
  • Complete space control ecosystem

7. Conclusions and Recommendations


 
INSTRUCTOR: DR. MARSHALL H. KAPLAN
Marshall H. Kaplan, Ph.D., is a recognized expert in space flight technologies, orbital mechanics and debris retrieval. He was the first to study space junk retrieval and was instrumental in the safe reentry of the Skylab Space Station in 1979. Foxnews.com recently aired a story about his four decades of research on this topic. Dr. Kaplan is one of only a few experts in the field of space debris control and reduction. He has over four decades of academic and industrial experience, having served as Professor of Aerospace Engineering at the Pennsylvania State University and presenting hundreds of courses on space technology in the U.S., Europe, South America and Asia. In addition to publishing some 100 papers, reports, and articles on aerospace technologies, he is the author of several books, including the internationally used text, Modern Spacecraft Dynamics and Control.  Dr. Kaplan is a member of the AIAA Technical Committee on Space Transportation and holds advanced degrees from MIT and Stanford University.
  info@launchspace.com 
(202) 258-6133
 
 
Featured short course - available for customized presentation at your facility
Contact Launchspace for a quote: info@launchspace.com 
 
Spaceport Operations for Commercial Clients
DURATION: TWO DAYS
LOCATION: AT YOUR FACILITY
COURSE NO.: 6005
COURSE SUMMARY
This course is specially designed for government spaceport operators who are increasingly dealing with commercial launch operations. It provides insight into spaceport operations from the viewpoint of private sector expectations and requirements. A wide variety of important topics are covered. These include procurement of commercial launch vehicles and the related procurement process, payload processing for commercial vehicles, launch campaigns with commercial launch vehicles and clients and related launch operations. A number of examples and case studies are included in a highly interactive classroom setting.  

COURSE MATERIALS
Attendees receive extensive notes and reference materials.

COURSE OUTLINE
1.0 Introduction and Course Objectives
Review of course topics and outline. Explanation of course architecture and how it is intended to satisfy attendee expectations. Definition of terms and expressions used in the course.
2.0 Launch Vehicle and Launch Procurement Processes
Review of the Interface Requirements Document (IRD) typically used by commercial clients to procure launch vehicles and related services. Discussion of how this document flows into the acquisition of the launch site operations. Commercial vs. US Government Contracts for Launch Services. Mission Management and ICD Requirements and Verifications Management. Overview of Launch Vehicle Physical Interfaces and Configurations. Range Safety Interactions and the Range Safety Process. Meetings, Reviews and Schedules (how to manage and plan accordingly).
3.0 Launch Site Payload Processing
Payload Processing Facility Acquisition (Documents, requirements and the contract). Overview of Spacecraft Assembly, Test and Launch Operations. Electrical Power, Communication and Data Interfaces. Contamination Control and Mission Assurance. Spacecraft Processing, Special Tests, Accommodations. Launch Site Organizations and Mission Management on Site.
4.0 The Launch Campaign
Spacecraft Arrival, Handling Transportation and Logistics. Procedures, Safety, and Mission Assurance. Overview of Electrical and Mechanical Ground Support Equipment and Processing. Launch Vehicle Hardware Integration Overview. Horizontal vs. Vertical Processing. Multiple Payload Integration and Processing (Dual SC, multi SC, Cubesat, Primary and Secondary payloads, etc.). Ground System Electrical Interfaces, Checkout and Processing, Special tests, etc. Fairing Encapsulation and Physical Access to the Payload. Transportation Operations and Mating to the Launch Vehicle.
5.0 Launch Operations
Consolidated Testing (LV and Spacecraft). Mission Dress Rehearsals and Countdown. Scrubs and Contingency Operations. Weather and Range Constraints. Lessons Learned.
INSTRUCTOR: Steven Vernon
Steven R. Vernon has accumulated over 25 years of Spacecraft Design and Launch Vehicle payload integration and management experience. He has led launch campaigns for multiple successful space missions, launched from Eastern and Western ranges. His broad experience includes single and multiple payload missions launched on several United Launch Alliance vehicles including Atlas V, Delta II and Delta IV, and the Orbital Sciences Minotaur expendable vehicles. He has lead the spacecraft design, assembly, test and launch operation campaigns for both nuclear and conventional powered space missions. In addition, Mr. Vernon has led system integration and design tasks for several new and modified upper stage systems. He also sits on review boards and is supporting funded studies for sponsors in the civilian and military space communities including studies focused on emerging launch vehicles and systems. He has participated in many first flight articles and mission unique launch vehicle hardware development projects
  info@launchspace.com 
(202) 258-6133

__________________________________________________________________________________________________
Launchspace Training Courses
Here is a partial list of courses that we offer:
 

 
For more courses see the Launchspace Catalog on our website:
http://www.launchspace.com/New%20Site/Course%20Catalog.html
________________________________________________________________________________

   Got One of These?
Launchspace Training personnel have been providing special short courses to the space  community since 1970. Early in his career, Dr. Marshall H. Kaplan realized that space professionals had limited resources in advancing their own space-related knowledge base and on-the-job training options. Over the last few decades this company has created and delivered hundreds of focused courses to thousands of engineers, managers and support personnel in the space community. All training subject matter and supporting materials are designed to increase knowledge and improve productivity associated with space technologies, systems and operations. These topics are not offered in a university setting.
Over the past 20 years, Launchspace has been offering company-specific courses that are tailored to the requirements of any given company to train its own personnel. These courses are presented on-site by experts in the particular subject areas. Such offerings have proven to be very cost-effective and efficient. Every major space organization in North America and Europe has taken advantage of Launchspace's Training programs. This includes government agencies such as NASA, USAF and several other offices of the Department of Defense.
Course topics cover almost every aspect of space flight from launch vehicle technologies to orbital mechanics to spacecraft design. Our customized courses are offered at client locations in support of mission requirements and to expand the expertise of professional staff members. In addition, a few high-demand public classes are presented for open registration at selected conference locations. Contact us to discuss a customized training program for your professionals:
  info@launchspace.com 
(202) 258-6133
See our website for a partial listing of possible course offerings www.launchspace.com
_______________________________________________________________________________________________
  
LAUNCHSPACE is an educational organization dedicated to training and continuing education for space professionals and to supporting the space community.  
We offer the largest array of customized client-site courses to government agencies and industry, and a full spectrum of technical and management expertise in support of space programs. Click on www.Launchspace.com to see our extensive catalog of course offerings. Any of these can be customized for your needs, or we can create a new course for you.
Through our training programs we have helped thousands of engineers and managers become more productive in their careers. Our courses and programs are unique and customized for our clients. We focus on critical skills in all areas of spaceflight, spacecraft and launch systems.
Our instructors are all experts in their fields and present highly interactive classes in-person and at your facilities.
     Please contact us for more information about our services at info@launchspace.com or +1.202.258.6133. 
_______________________________________________________________________________________________





Launchspace Training   Phone: 202 258 6133 | Email: Info@launchspace.com
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Thursday, October 3, 2019

Fwd: Rocket Report: New Shepard rides will be expensive, Falcon 9 to fly commercial Moon mission, the final Pegasus?



Sent from my iPad

Begin forwarded message:

From: Ars Technica <no-reply@arstechnica.com>
Date: October 3, 2019 at 11:46:38 AM CDT
To: <bobbygmartin1938@gmail.com>
Subject: Rocket Report: New Shepard rides will be expensive, Falcon 9 to fly commercial Moon mission, the final Pegasus?
Reply-To: Ars Technica <no-reply@arstechnica.com>

Ars Rocket Report Newsletter Template
Ars Technica Rocket Report
Welcome to the Rocket Report. As always, we encourage your submissions for story ideas. If this e-mail was forwarded to you, you can subscribe to this newsletter here.
10.03.2019 • Edition 2.17
Calendar

Next three launches

Oct. 9: Proton | Eutelsat 5 West B & MEV 1 | Baikonur Cosmodrome, Kazakhstan | 10:17 UTC

Oct. 10: Pegasus XL | ICON | Skid Strip, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station | 01:24 UTC

Oct. 14: Rocket Lab | Astro Digital | Mahia Peninsula, New Zealand | 23:00 UTC

 

Rocket takeoff

This week in lift

On October 4, 1959, the Soviet Luna 3 mission launched to the Moon. Improbably, it succeeded in capturing the first photo of the far side of the Moon, developed it, and then returned to Earth to transmit it back to the ground. The mission launched on an SS-6 Sapwood booster at the Baikonur Cosmodrome.

Small Lift Rockets

Small Lift Rockets

Relativity Space is terran up the venture capital markets. Relativity Space announced Tuesday that it has closed a $140 million Series C funding round led by Bond and Tribe Capital. (The puns come at no additional cost). With this funding, Relativity Chief Executive Tim Ellis told Ars that the company is fully funded to complete development of its Terran 1 rocket and reach orbit. However, instead of that happening in 2020, the first launch has now slipped into early 2021.
Plenty of investor confidence ... Relativity has ambitious plans to 3D print the entirety of its rockets, reducing workforce costs and increasing the company's ability to iterate on rocket design. By using 3D printing, the company can evolve its rocket design from mission to mission, incorporate more complex geometries, and basically try more things more quickly.  The new round of funding suggests key investors certainly believe in the company's path forward.

New Shepard seat "hundreds of thousands of dollars." Blue Origin has always shied away from saying how much it will cost to fly into space on its New Shepard suborbital spaceship, but now the company's CEO has said it will be expensive. "Any new technology is never cheap, whether you're talking about the first IBM computers or what we actually see today," Bob Smith said at a TechCrunch conference, according to GeekWire. "But it'll be actually in the hundreds of thousands of dollars for people to go, initially."
Price to come down eventually? ... Smith added that over time, "we're going to get this down to the point where middle-class people" can afford a ticket to space. I'm middle class. I make a reasonable salary and of course I would love to go to space. But I have to wonder what Jeff Bezos would consider an affordable price for the middle class. (Based on the results of this informal poll, my readers think said price point is under $25,000). (submitted by Ken the Bin)

Rocket Lab demonstrates flexibility. New Zealand-based launch provider Rocket Lab has announced its next commercial mission, "As The Crow Flies," taking an Astro Digital satellite to orbit in October. Interestingly, this launch originally had a different payload, but was switched out on fairly short notice. This kind of thing really isn't done much in the world of launch services, Tech Crunch notes.
A step forward ... "Electron is a launch on demand service — we're ready when the launch customer is," Rocket Lab chief executive Peter Beck told the publication. "Electron is designed for standardized, rapid production — we don't build to tail numbers. This ensures we can have launch vehicles on standby, ready to be assigned a payload for launch on demand." This is one bit of evidence that the new space launch industry is moving toward long-promised launch-on-demand services. (submitted by trimeta and Ken the Bin)

Virgin Galactic, Italy sign research agreement. On Wednesday, Virgin Galactic signed an agreement with the Italian Air Force to have humans fly on board its suborbital spacecraft and conduct scientific research. The deal marks the first time a government has bought a ride on a private, suborbital space mission to conduct any kind of human-led experiments. The first research flight could take place as early as next year, the company said.
First mission possibly in 2020 ... "We're delighted to work with the Italian Air Force to further space-based research and technology development through this historic mission," Virgin's chief executive, George Whitesides, said in a news release. The announcement is significant for a couple of reasons. First, with a notional mission date of 2020, it buttresses the idea that Virgin Galactic may finally move into commercial operations with VSS Unity next year. The agreement also suggests that there may be a fairly robust market for suborbital spaceflight research.

Is Pegasus finally ready to fly? A Northrop Grumman Pegasus XL rocket is back at Cape Canaveral after a cross-country ferry flight Tuesday under an L-1011 carrier jet, ready for final checkouts and a countdown dress rehearsal before an airborne launch off Florida's east coast Oct. 9 with NASA's Ionospheric Connection Explorer satellite, Spaceflight Now reports. Three solid-fueled rocket motors on the Pegasus XL launcher will propel the ICON spacecraft into a 575km orbit.
Final flight of the Pegasus? ... The mission was originally supposed to launch in June, 2017, from near Kwajalein Atoll, the home of a remote U.S. military test site in the Marshall Islands. A series of delays have pushed the launch forward to this month. This is the last known mission on the Pegasus manifest, and it's possibly the final flight the rocket will ever make. (submitted by Ken the Bin and Tfargo04)

Three more Chinese companies progressing toward flight. In a roundup of the Chinese new space industry, in which 20 Chinese private firms are believed to be developing or manufacturing launch vehicles, rocket engines or related components, Space News reports on three companies taking concrete steps toward their first launches. 
Too much to track ... Last week, a company called Galactic Energy carried out a successful 74-second hot fire test of the second stage for its first launch vehicle. Another firm, Space Trek, announced it will perform a test flight of a suborbital rocket in the near future from a site in northwest China. And Beijing Deep Blue Aerospace Technology Co., Ltd., announced a successful thrust chamber hot test for a kerosene-liquid oxygen engine. We could have a separate newsletter devoted entirely to Chinese rockets, but one is enough for me to edit, thank you very much. (submitted by Ken the Bin)

Medium Lift rockets

Lunar Lander to ride on Falcon 9 rocket. Intuitive Machines confirmed its plans this week to launch a commercial lunar lander aboard a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket from Florida's Space Coast in 2021. This mission will deliver multiple payloads to the Moon, including up to five science instruments for NASA, Spaceflight Now reports. The Houston-based company's first robotic Nova-C lander will carry up to 220 pounds, or 100 kilograms, of payloads to the moon's surface.
Likely a rideshare mission ... Trent Martin, vice president of aerospace systems for the company, said, "Essentially, we're a primary (payload). The reason it's a rideshare is we weigh 1,700 kilograms, so they have remaining mass available." Intuitive Machine said they selected the Falcon 9 rocket due to its low cost and high quality.

Heavy Lift Rockets

Heavy Lift Rockets

Elon Musk reveals his Starship prototype. On Saturday night in South Texas, the SpaceX founder revealed the massive prototype of its Starship upper stage. The prototype loomed behind Musk as he addressed a crowd of a few hundred people, including employees, local residents from Brownsville and surrounding towns, and members of the media. Since September, 2016, Musk has provided an annual update on progress made on the Mars transport vehicle.
From science fiction to just science? ... Three years ago, the idea of flying 37 engines on a single rocket seemed fanciful. And then, in early 2018, the company launched the Falcon Heavy with 27 engines. Three years ago, the notion of landing and re-flying a large rocket multiple times seemed distant. But now SpaceX has done this dozens of times. But most futuristic of all seemed the notion of a 50-meter-tall spaceship that could launch into space, fly on to the Moon or Mars, and return to Earth. Yet here was a prototype of a vehicle that may just do that one day.

NASA chief says private rockets leapfrogging SLS would be great. During an interview with The Atlantic, NASA Administrator Jim Bridenstine was asked about SpaceX's Starship project, and the potential for that vehicle and its Super Heavy booster to beat the Space Launch System to the Moon. "I think it would be fantastic if they could do that," he said. 
NASA will be a customer ... More Bridenstine: "And if they can get to the Moon, we want to use those services. Our goal is to be a customer, not the owner and operator of all the equipment. But right now, if we're going to get to the moon in 2024 with humans, SLS and Orion are the way to do it." The last sentence was brought to you by the U.S. Senate. (submitted by platykurtic)

Air Force does "last remnants" of non-compete. This week, the US Air Force made a couple of announcements about future launches of the Delta IV Heavy launch vehicle as well as the Atlas V rocket. Both vehicles, built and launched by United Launch Alliance, once held a monopoly on the launch of US national security satellites. Both rockets received their final "launch operations support" contracts.
No mas ... "These are the last remnants of our sole source contracts," Bongiovi said during a teleconference with reporters, Ars reported. "We look forward to embracing the competitive landscape that we have worked hard with industry to create." Future national security mission launch awards will be based on fixed-price contracts, without any "launch support" awards or contracts. (submitted by Ken the Bin)